Espanya inicia la seva recuperació?

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Submitted by joan on 27 March, 2014 - 10:40

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Els mitjans es fan ressó de les declaracions intencionades dels polítics, de fa setmanes, de què ja es veu la llum al final del túnel, que s'ha aturat la caiguda de l'economia...

Evidenment aquestes declaracions dels polítics no son analitzades pels periodistes, no fos cas que algú es pogués fer una idea més real de la realitat econòmica, o que el perodista perdés la seva feina, pobret...

Bé, en resum, el que està passant a Espanya és que els darrers anys el deute de les administracions públiques s'ha més que doblat, passant del 48% al 2007 a 121% el 2013. I amb aquesta quantitat descomunal de diners que hem demanat prestats, 800.000 milions d'euros, la cosa ha anat com a anat... Us imagineu si no poguessim continuar demanant de prestat? Doncs això és el que passarà aviat, perquè els estats tenen un límit d'endeutament i Espanya està arribant al seu, sent un dels països del nostre entrorn geopolitic amb una xifra més gran.

Evolució deute públic espanyol

Fem un smil, per entendre'ns... Imagineu que la vostra família ingressa anualment 30.000€ (2 sous d'uns 1.200€, aprox) i que el 2007 tenieu un deute amb el banc de 15.000€ Durant aquests 6 darrers anys la cosa ha anat malament, un dels dos membres de la parella ha perdut la feina a temps complert i treballa a temps parcial) i per arribar a ingressar els 30.000€ que necessiteu per tenir el mateix tren de vida (pagar una mútua de sanitat, anar a sopar fora, vacances, pagar els interessos del crèdit, pagar-li els capricis al fill ludòpata que no dona un pal a l'aigua, que en el cas espanyol serien els bancs, etc.) us han deixat 21.000€ més durant aquests anys (uns 3.500€ anuals). Amb aquests 3.500€ anuals heu pogut anar tirant, tenint en compte que més de la meitat dels diners els heu destinat a pagar els deutes del fill dropo i ludòpata, apretant-vos el cinturó...

¿Què passaria si el banc diu que ja no us vol donar més crèdit, que cada vegada deveu més cèntims i que sospiten que arribarà un punt que no els podreu tornar, perquè cada cop necessiteu més part del sou pèr pagar interessos, podeu destinar menys a les necessitats bàsiques? Doncs que si arriba aquest moment, la vostra economia s'enfonsaria i us caldria canviar de casa per un pis petit i humit, que no podrieu pagar la mútua sanitària que pagaveu i haurieu de renunciar encara més al tren de vida quie portàveu que, encara que no ho fos, a valtros us semblava "normal" (tot i que pels vostres avis, o pels veïns del sud, era escandalosament alt).

Això és el que ens passarà, com a pais, en pocs anys, quan s'arribi al màxim de la nostra capacitat d'endeutament... Aquests son els brots verds, la "recuperació" que tenim a l'horitzo... Temps al temps...